2016 INFORMS Annual Meeting Program

ORGANIZING COMMITTEE General Chair Chanaka Edirisinghe

CONTENT Sponsors

2

Welcome from the General Chair

3

Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute

Program & Special Event Schedule

4

Program Chair Bogdan Bichescu University of Tennessee

Business, Receptions, & Networking

6

Exhibit Listings & Technology Tutorials

7

Invited Sessions Chair Shabbir Ahmed Georgia Institute of Technology Sponsored Sessions Chair James Ostrowski University of Tennessee Tutorials Chairs Aparna Gupta Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute

Career Fair Employers

15

INFORMS Center

16

Table of Contents

TECHNICAL SESSIONS Sunday

17

Monday

121

Tuesday

232

Agostino Capponi Columbia University

Wednesday

363

Poster Sessions

175 & 293

Contributed Sessions Chairs Scott Mason Clemson University

Session Chair Index

512

Author Index

518

Justin Yates Francis Marion University

Session Index

549

Practice Program Co-Chairs Mingzhou Jin University of Tennessee

INDEX OF ADVERTISERS Upcoming INFORMS Meetings

Inside Front Cover

Sean Willems University of Tennessee

The University of Chicago Press Journals Inside Back Cover

Plenary/Keynote Chair James Primbs California State University Poster Sessions Co-Chairs Melissa Bowers University of Tennessee

Oleg Shylo University of Tennessee

Arrangements Co-Chairs Christine Vossler University of Tennessee

Anahita Khojandi University of Tennessee

Copies of papers abstracted in the meeting program are available only from the authors. Requests for papers should be sent to the authors at the addresses shown in the program. Published annually prior to the meeting by INFORMS. Individual issues of the program are available upon request. Please contact the INFORMS office for additional information, 800.446.3676. Orders must be prepaid.

CONTRIBUTOR SPONSORS

PLATINUM SPONSOR

CONFERENCE BAGS

NETWORKING LOUNGE / EXHIBIT HALLL

STUDENT VOLUNTEER T-SHIRTS

GOLD SPONSORS

STUDENT VOLUNTEER T-SHIRTS

POSTER SESSION

Thank You to Our Sponsors HOTEL KEY CARDS

DOCTORAL STUDENT COLLOQUIUM & AWARDS CEREMONY

LEHIGH ISE

Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering

STUDENT VOLUNTEER T-SHIRTS

DOCTORAL STUDENT COLLOQUIUM

EXHIBIT HALL PASSPORT

CONFERENCE LANYARDS

POSTER SESSION

STUDENT VOLUNTEER T-SHIRTS

BRONZE SPONSORS

SELF-SERVICE & INFORMATION KIOSKS

DOCTORAL STUDENT COLLOQUIUM

POSTER SESSION

POSTER SESSION

POSTER SESSION

GENERAL CHAIR’S RECEPTION

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Lally School of Management Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute (RPI) 110 8th Street, Troy, NY 12180, U.S.A.

Dear INFORMS Friends and Colleagues,

Welcome to the 2016 INFORMS Annual Meeting in Nashville, the capital city of the state of Tennessee and the second most populated. In addition to being a major music production center, Nashville’s economy is powered by the healthcare industry along with other important industries such as automotive, financial, insurance and publishing industries. The conference theme, “Fine-Tuning Decisions in the Music City,” reflects the broad scope of what will be covered in the conference, from applications in industries such as healthcare, finance and risk, entertainment, and supply chains to methodologies and analysis in advanced computing, big data, and new challenges in the optimization of systems. An intriguing blend of topics from academics and practitioners fill the plenary and semi-plenary presentations. Guruduth Banavar, VP and Chief Science Officer at IBM, is the distinguished speaker for the opening plenary on Sunday, presenting an overview of cognitive computing, the technology breakthroughs, and the practical applications that are transforming every industry. Margaret L. Brandeau, Professor of Engineering and Professor of Medicine at Stanford University, delivers a Monday plenary on effective public health preparedness and national security implications with a view to answering very complex questions using operations research. A Tuesday plenary is offered jointly by Professors Suvrajeet Sen and Gareth James, University of Southern California, on big data and big decisions. Omega Rho’s 40th Year Anniversary is celebrated with a Monday plenary lecture given by an expert panel consisting of Professors Alfred Blumstein (Carnegie Mellon University), John Birge (University of Chicago), Ralph Keeney (Duke University), and John Little (MIT). Moreover, the IFORS Distinguished Lecture is given by Professor Rolf H. Möhring, Beijing Institute for Scientific and Engineering Computing. The winners of the Franz Edelman, UPS George D. Smith, and Daniel H. Wagner Prizes will present their accomplishments in separate keynote presentations. The lineup of keynote lectures also includes: Jeff Nichols, Director, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, on creating the Exascale ecosystem for science; Jason Murray, Vice President of World wide Retail Systems, Amazon, on optimizing supply chains; Edmund Jackson, Chief Data Scientist, Hospital Corporation of America, on analytics in healthcare; Stephen Prather, on sports analytics and the pursuit of usefulness; and Gerald Brown, Naval Postgraduate School, on what the goals of analysis should be. Please take advantage of the many opportunities to network, including the Welcome Reception on Sunday evening, the General Reception on Tuesday evening, and the gathering areas at the conference exhibits and the Career Center. Also, do not forget to indulge yourself in the “The Coolest, Tastiest City in the South” food offerings from southern fare to haute cuisine to quite literally everything in between. I am grateful to the INFORMS Meetings Committee for their support, and to the highly professional and efficient INFORMS staff members for their dedication to success. I am indebted to the organizing committee members for their unwavering support and hard work to put together a high quality program. The Program Chair, Bogdan Bichescu, University of Tennessee, has been my right-hand person persevering for success for over two long years, along with James Primbs, California State University, who served as Plenary and Keynote chair. Tutorial co-chairs, Aparna Gupta and Agostino Capponi; Invited sessions chair, Shabbir Ahmed; Poster sessions co-chairs, Melissa Bowers and Oleg Shylo; Contributed sessions co-chairs, Scott Mason and Justin Yates; Sponsored sessions chair, James Ostrowski; Practice program co-chairs, Mingzhou Jin and Sean Willems; and Arrangements co-chairs, Christine Vossler and Anahita Khojandi, all contributed immensely to the meeting’s success. Organizing this event would not have been possible without their creative spirit and steadfast support. I would also like to thankfully acknowledge the generous support received from our sponsors for the success of this conference. My special thanks go to the Platinum sponsor, Haslam College of Business, University of Tennessee; Gold sponsors, AIMMS, Caterpillar, IBM, and Industrial and Systems Engineering, University of Tennessee; Bronze sponsors, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University and SAS; and various Contributor sponsors, a long list that includes Rensselaer-Lally School, UT Dallas-Jindal School, Georgia Tech-ISyE, Lehigh-Engineering, PennState, Northwestern-Engineering, SUTD-Singapore, UTenn-Business Analytics, UT Austin-Engineering, GAMS, AMPL, and LINDO Systems.

Welcome from the General Chair

It is my great pleasure and privilege to welcome you to INFORMS 2016! I hope you will enjoy the conference.

Chanaka Edirisinghe, General Chair Professor, Lally School of Management, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute

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MCC - Music City Center | Omni - Omni Hotel

FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 11 Combined Colloquia Registration

Omni - Legends D, 2 nd Floor Omni - Legends ABC, 2 nd Floor

5:30–6:30pm

Dinner

6–8pm

SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 12 Combined Colloquia

Omni - Cumberland 1-6 Omni - Legends B,C,D Omni - Music Row 2 Omni - Legends A, 2 nd Floor Omni - Music Row 3,4,5 MCC - Exhibit Hall A, Level 3 MCC - Exhibit Hall A, Level 3

7am–6pm

CIST

7:30am–6pm

ISR Editors Meeting

8am–2pm 8am–5pm 8am–7pm 9am–5pm

Organization Science Dissertation Competition

Data Mining & Analytics Workshop

Visit Music City

INFORMS Registration

7am–5:30pm 10am–12noon 12noon–4:30pm

Executive Committee Meeting INFORMS Board Meeting

Omni - Gibson Boardroom, 3 rd Floor

Omni - Legends EF, 2 nd Floor

Technology Workshops SAS - GAP/EDU

MCC - 201A, Level 2 MCC - 201B, Level 2 MCC - 201A, Level 2 MCC - 201B, Level 2 MCC - 202A, Level 2 MCC - 202B, Level 2 MCC - 201A, Level 2 MCC - 201B, Level 2 MCC - 202B, Level 2 MCC - 205A, Level 2 MCC - 202C, Level 2 MCC - 202A, Level 2 MCC - 208B, Level 2 MCC - 208A, Level 2 MCC - 205B, Level 2

9–11:30am 9–11:30am

Optimization Direct

AIMMS

12noon–2:30pm 12noon–2:30pm 12noon–2:30pm 12noon–2:30pm

FICO

SAS - JMP

Bayesia

SAS Institute

3–5:30pm 3–5:30pm 3–5:30pm 3–5:30pm 3–5:30pm 3–5:30pm 3–5:30pm 3–5:30pm 3–5:30pm 5–6:30pm

GAMS

GUROBI

IBM Analytics

SIMIO

MathWorks

Neusrel

LINDO Systems Frontline Systems

INFORMS Member Meeting

Omni - Broadway GHJK, 2 nd Floor Omni - Acoustic, 4th Floor Omni - Electric, 4th Floor Omni - Legends G, 2nd Floor

Roundtable Reception Roundtable Dinner Program and Special Event Schedule ISS Awards & ISR Editors Reception

5–6pm 6–7pm

6:30–8pm

SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 13 INFORMS Registration New Member Breakfast (invite only) MNSC Editorial Board Meeting (invite only) ITED Editorial Board Meeting (invite only)

MCC - Exhibit Hall A, Level 3 Omni - Broadway F, 2 nd Floor Omni - Broadway K, 2 nd Floor Omni - Broadway H, 2 nd Floor Omni - Broadway E, 2 nd Floor Music City Center & Omni Omni - Legends EF, 2 nd Floor

7am–5pm

7–8am

7:30–9am 7:30–9am 7:30–9am 8–9:30am 8am–5pm

Career Center Breakfast & Meeting

Technical Sessions (SA)

INFORMS Board

CIST

Omni - Legends B,C,D

8am–5:15pm

Visit Music City Coffee Break

MCC - Exhibit Hall A, Level 3 MCC - Level 2 / Omni - 2 nd Floor MCC - Davidson Ballroom, Level 1M Music City Center & Omni

9am–5pm 9:30–10am 10–10:50am 11am–12:30pm 11am–12:30pm 12noon–5pm 12noon–5pm 12noon–6pm 12:30–1:30pm 12:30–1:30pm 12:30–2:30pm

Welcome & Plenary: Guru Banavar

Technical Sessions (SB)

QSR Student Intro. & Interactive

Omni - Mockingbird 2

Exhibits, Career Center, Technology Center INFORMS Center, Networking Lounge

MCC - Exhibit Hall A, Level 3 MCC - Exhibit Hall A, Level 3 Omni - Legends A, 2 nd Floor Omni - Broadway E, 2 nd Floor

CIEADH

Junior Faculty Interest Group Lunch (ticketed event)

Lunch Break (on your own)

M&SOM Associate Editors Lunch (invite only)

Omni - Broadway A, 2 nd Floor Music City Center & Omni

Technical Sessions (SC)

1:30–3pm 3:10–4pm 3:10–4pm 3:10–4pm 4–4:30pm 4:30–6pm

Keynote: UPS George D. Smith Reprise Keynote: Jeff Nichols, ORNL Keynote: IFORS Distinguished Lecture

MCC - Davidson Ballroom A, Level 1M MCC - Davidson Ballroom B, Level 1M MCC - Davidson Ballroom C, Level 1M MCC - Exhibit Hall A, Level 3 / Omni - 2 nd Floor

Coffee Break

Technical Sessions (SD)

Music City Center & Omni

INFORMS Community Meetings

See p. 6

INFORMS Connect & Social Networking Reception

Omni - Broadway AB, 2 nd Floor MCC - Exhibit Hall A, Level 3 Omni - Broadway K, 2 nd Floor Omni - Broadway EF, 2 nd Floor

6:30–7:30pm

Welcome Reception - Exhibits Open Minority Issues Forum Reception

7:30–9pm 7:30–9pm

Awards Ceremony & Dessert

8:30–9:45pm

MONDAY, NOVEMBER 14 INFORMS Registration

MCC - Exhibit Hall A, Level 3 Omni - Broadway H, 2 nd Floor Omni - Broadway B, 2 nd Floor Music City Center & Omni Omni - Broadway D, 2 nd Floor

7am–5pm 7:30–9am

ACORD Breakfast & Meeting

Engagement with Organization Committee Meeting

8–9am

Technical Sessions (MA)

8–9:30am

Service Science Editorial Board Meeting (invite only)

8–10am

4

Interfaces , EIC Orientation Chapters/Fora Committee

Omni - Broadway A, 2 nd Floor Omni - Broadway J, 2 nd Floor MCC - Exhibit Hall A, Level 3 MCC - Exhibit Hall A, Level 3 MCC - Exhibit Hall A, Level 3 Omni - Broadway J, 2 nd Floor

8am–12noon 8:30–9:30am

Exhibits, Career Center, Technology Center INFORMS Center, Networking Lounge

9am–5pm 9am–5pm 9am–5pm

Visit Music City

Section/Societies Committee

9:30–10:30am

Coffee Break

MCC - Exhibit Hall A, Level 3 / Omni - 2 nd Floor MCC – 6 th Ave Exit, Near Rooms 210-214 MCC - Davidson Ballroom, Level 1M

9:30–10am

Amazon Fulfillment Center Plant Tour Plenary: Philip McCord Morse Lecture Technical Sessions (MB) Education Committee Meeting Lunch Break (on your own) Sections/Societies Officers Lunch (invite only)

9:30–12:30pm 10–10:50am 11am–12:30pm 11am–12noon 12noon–1:30pm 12noon–1:30pm 12:30–1:30pm 12:30–1:30pm 12:30–1:30pm 12:30–2:30pm 12:30–3:30pm 12:45–2:30pm 12:30–2pm

Music City Center & Omni Omni - Broadway D, 2 nd Floor

Omni - Broadway J, 2 nd Floor Omni - Broadway A, 2 nd Floor Omni - Broadway H, 2 nd Floor Omni - Legends E, 2 nd Floor Omni - Broadway K, 2 nd Floor MCC - Exhibit Hall A, Level 3 Omni - Broadway C, 2 nd Floor Omni - Legends D, 2 nd Floor Music City Center & Omni Omni - Broadway D, 2 nd Floor

Bonder Scholarship Lunch COIN-OR Members & Users PSOR Business Meeting

MOOR Editorial Board Meeting (invite only)

Poster Session & Competition

Publications/Editors-in-Chief Meeting

Fellows Lunch (invite only) Technical Sessions (MC) Subdivisions Council

1:30–3pm 2:30–4:30pm

Analytics Program Director Meeting

MCC - Executive Boardroom, Level 3 MCC - Davidson Ballroom, Level 1M

3–4pm

Plenary: Omega Rho – 40 th Year Anniversary Panel

3:10–4pm 4–4:30pm 4:30–6pm 4:30–6pm

Coffee Break

MCC - Exhibit Hall A, Level 3

Omega Rho Reception (invite only)

MCC - Davidson Ballroom A, Level 1M

Technical Sessions (MD)

Music City Center & Omni

INFORMS Community Meetings

See p. 6

Interfaces Editorial Board Meeting (invite only)

Omni - Broadway B, 2 nd Floor Omni - Broadway G, 2 nd Floor Omni - Broadway EF, 2 nd Floor

6:15–7:15pm

International Activities Reception

7:30–9pm

Student Awards Reception

7:30–9:30pm

WORMS Networking/Dessert Reception

Frothy Monkey (off-site)

8–10pm

TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 15 INFORMS Registration

Program and Special Event Schedule

MCC - Exhibit Hall A, Level 3 Omni - Broadway F, 2 nd Floor Omni - Broadway J, 2 nd Floor Omni - Broadway K, 2 nd Floor Omni - Broadway F, 2 nd Floor Music City Center & Omni MCC - Exhibit Hall A, Level 3 MCC - Exhibit Hall A, Level 3 MCC - Exhibit Hall A, Level 3

7am–5pm

Chapters/Fora Officers Breakfast

7–8am 7–8am

IFORS Members Societies Representatives Breakfast Transportation Science Associate Editors (invite only)

7:30–9am 8–8:45am 8–9:30am 9am–5pm 9am–5pm 9am–5pm 9:30–10am

Student Chapter Officers Meeting

Technical Sessions (TA)

Exhibits, Career Center, Technology Center INFORMS Center, Networking Lounge

Visit Music City Coffee Break

MCC - Exhibit Hall A, Level 3 / Omni - 2 nd Floor MCC - 6 th Ave Exit, Near Rooms 210-214 MCC - Davidson Ballroom, Level 1M

Smyrna Vehicle Assembly Plant Tour (ticketed event) Plenary: Suvrajeet Sen & Gareth James, Univ. of Southern Calif.

9:30–11:30am 10–10:50am 11am–12:30pm 12noon–1:30pm 12:30–1:30pm 12:30–1:30pm 12:30–2:30pm

Technical Sessions (TB) Lunch Break (on your own)

Music City Center & Omni

IJOC Editorial Board Meeting (invite only) Women in OR/MS Lunch (ticketed event)

Omni - Broadway G, 2 nd Floor Omni - Broadway F, 2 nd Floor MCC - Exhibit Hall A, Level 3 Music City Center & Omni

Poster Session & Competition Technical Sessions (TC)

1:30–3pm 3:10–4pm 3:10–4pm 3:10–4pm 4–4:30pm 4:30–6pm

Keynote: Wagner Prize Winner Reprise Keynote: Jason Murray, Amazon Keynote: Edelman Reprise: UPS

MCC - Davidson Ballroom A, Level 1M MCC - Davidson Ballroom B, Level 1M MCC - Davidson Ballroom C, Level 1M MCC - Exhibit Hall A, Level 3 / Omni - 2 nd Floor

Coffee Break

Technical Sessions (TD)

Music City Center & Omni Omni - Broadway JK, 2 nd Floor

Exhibitor & Organizing Committee Reception

5–6pm

INFORMS Community Meetings

See p. 6

General Reception

MCC - Grand Ballroom, Level 4

7:30–9:30pm

WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 16 INFORMS Registration

MCC - Exhibit Hall A, Level 3 Music City Center & Omni MCC - Exhibit Hall A, Level 3 MCC - Exhibit Hall A, Level 3

7am–4:30pm 8–9:30am 9am–3pm 9am–3pm 9:30–10am 10–10:50am 10–10:50am 10–10:50am

Technical Sessions (WA)

Exhibits, Career Center, Technology Center INFORMS Center, Networking Lounge

Coffee Break

MCC - Exhibit Hall A, Level 3 / Omni - 2 nd Floor MCC - Davidson Ballroom A, Level 1M MCC - Davidson Ballroom B , Level 1M MCC - Davidson Ballroom C, Level 1M

Keynote: Edmund Jackson, HCA

Keynote: Gerald Brown, Naval Postgraduate School Keynote: Stephen Prather, SportSource Analytics

Technical Sessions (WB) Technical Sessions (WC) Technical Sessions (WD) Technical Sessions (WE) Coffee Break

Music City Center & Omni Music City Center & Omni Music City Center & Omni Music City Center & Omni

11am–12:30pm 12:45–2:15pm 2:15–2:45pm 2:45–4:15pm 4:30–6pm

MCC - Exhibit Hall A, Level 3 / Omni - 2 nd Floor

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MCC - Music City Center | Omni - Omni Hotel

SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 13 Information Systems

Omni - Legends D, 2 nd Floor

5:15–6:15pm 6:15–7:15pm 6:15–7:15pm 6:15–7:15pm 6:15–7:15pm 6:15–7:15pm 6:15–7:15pm 6:15–7:15pm 6:15–7:15pm 6:15–7:15pm 6:15–7:15pm 6:15–7:15pm 6:15–7:15pm 6:15–7:15pm 6:15–7:15pm 6:15–7:15pm 6:15–7:15pm 7:15–8:15pm 6:15–7:15pm 6:15–7:15pm 6:15–7:15pm 6:15–7:15pm 6:15–7:15pm 6:15–7:15pm 6:15–7:15pm 6:15–7:15pm 6:15–7:15pm 6:15–7:15pm 6:15–7:15pm 6:15–7:15pm 7:15–8:15pm 7:15–10:15pm 12:30–1:30pm 6–8pm

Aviation Applications

MCC - 107A, Level 1

Decision Analysis Society Council

Off-Site

ENRE Section

MCC - 101D, Level 1 MCC - 211, Level 2 MCC - 107B, Level 1 MCC - 105A, Level 1 MCC - 108, Level 1 MCC - 105B, Level 1 MCC - 207D, Level 1 MCC - 110A, Level 1 MCC - 110B, Level 1 MCC - 209A, Level 2 MCC - 212, Level 2 MCC - 207D, Level 2 Off-Site MCC - 104D, Level 1 MCC - 207A, Level 2 MCC - 106B, Level 1 MCC - 109, Level 1 MCC - 208A, Level 2 MCC - 107A, Level 1 MCC - 207C, Level 2 MCC - 108, Level 1 MCC - 210, Level 2 MCC - 107B, Level 1

Forum on Education (INFORM-ED)

Location Analysis Section

Manufacturing & Service Operations Society

MCC - Davidson B, Level 1M

Minority Issues Forum

Military Applications Society Board Multiple Criteria Decision Making

Optimization

MCC - Davidson A, Level 1M

Railway Applications

Revenue Management & Pricing Telecommunications Section

Transportation Science & Logistics Society Board

Simulation

Women in OR/MS

Revenue Management & Pricing Board Meeting

MONDAY, NOVEMBER 14 PSOR DM, QSR, & Artificial Intelligence

Omni - Legends E, 2 nd Floor MCC - Davidson B, Level 1M

Analytics

Applied Probability

Computing

CPMS Isolated Practitioners Workshop

Business, Receptions, & Networking Decision Analysis e-Business

Financial Services Health Applications

MCC - Davidson C, Level 1M

Military Applications Society

Social Media Analytics

Tech., Innovation Mgmt., & Entrepreneurship

TSL

MCC - Davidson A, Level 1M

Behavioral Operations Management Military Applications Reception

MCC - 109, Level 1 MCC - 108, Level 1

TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 15 SpORts CPMS Section Membership Reception

Baileys Sports Grille (off-site) Palm Restaurant (off-site)

6:00–7:00pm 6:15–7:15 pm 6:45–7:30pm

Service Science

MCC - 107A, Level 1

UNIVERSITY RECEPTIONS MONDAY, NOVEMBER 14 Texas A&M University

Omni - Legends A, 2 nd Floor Omni - Broadway H, 2 nd Floor Omni - Legends E, 2 nd Floor Omni - Legends F, 2 nd Floor Omni - Broadway D, 2 nd Floor Omni - Broadway A, 2 nd Floor Omni - Legends C, 2 nd Floor Omni - Broadway C, 2 nd Floor

5:30–7:30pm

Princeton University

TBA

Tepper School of Business - Carnegie Mellon University

6–8pm

University of Florida

6–7:30pm

University of Texas at Austin (Sponsored by: IROM & ORIE)

7–9pm 7–9pm

University of Notre Dame

Cornell University

7:15–8:15pm 7:30–9:30pm

Northwestern University

6

All Technology Tutorials will take place in the Music City Center, 5 th Avenue Lobby.

AIMMS

48

AnyLogic North America, LLC

27

www.aimms.com

www.anylogic.com

AIMMS is an innovative technology company with offices in Europe, the U.S. and Asia. Half of the global Fortune top 20 corporations rely on AIMMS because of our unique analytics, modeling and

AnyLogic Software–the first and only tool that brings together System Dynamics, Process-centric (Discrete

Event), and Agent Based methods within one modeling language and one model development environmentis–the leading provider of dynamic simulation tools, technologies and consulting services for business applications. The language of AnyLogic has unmatched flexibility enabling modelers to capture the complexity of business, economy and social systems at any level of detail to gain deeper insight into interdependent processes inside and around an organization.

optimization platform that supports both strategic and daily operational challenges such as supply chain optimization, strategic sourcing, pricing, workforce optimization, portfolio optimization and production planning and scheduling.

Amazon

54

www.amazon.com

Artelys

47

Amazon’s mission is to be Earth’s most customer-centric company where people can find and discover anything

www.artelys.com

Artelys is a global provider of decision- support solutions through numerical optimization and analytics technologies,

they want to buy online. Amazon’s evolution from website to e-commerce and publishing partner to development platform is driven by the pioneering spirit that is part of the company’s DNA. The world’s brightest technology minds come to Amazon to research and develop new technologies that improve the lives of our customers: shoppers, sellers, content creators, and developers around the world. Because that’s what being Earth’s most customer-centric company is all about, and it’s still Day 1 at Amazon.

with offices in France, United States, Canada and UK. The organization is particularly active in the energy & environment, logistics & transportation, telecommunications, finance and defense sectors with half of their clients coming from the top French stock market index (CAC 40). Artelys offers a superior level of expertise to help governments and commercial entities with highly qualified consultants. The company also develops and supports a comprehensive portfolio of efficient and robust optimization tools such as Artelys Kalis, FICO Xpress Optimization suite, Knitro and AMPL. In addition, many of our customers are professional who use the Artelys Crystal suite, a set of user-friendly software dedicated to the optimization of energy and transportation systems. Artelys offers comprehensive and flexible solutions that range from functional analysis and organizational architecture design to implementation of solutions and operational tools. Monday, November 14, 8:45–9:30am Technology Tutorial: Solving Large Least-Squares Models with the Artelys Knitro Nonlinear Optimization Solver. Presenting Author: Richard Waltz, Senior Scientist, Artelys Corp, richard. waltz@artelys.com. Artelys Knitro is the premier solver for nonlinear optimization problems. This software demonstration will highlight the latest Knitro developments, including a new specialized API, as well as enhanced algorithms, for large-scale nonlinear least-squares models. We will demonstrate how to solve least-squares models using Knitro through a variety of interfaces such as R, MATLAB and C/C++, and also provide some benchmarking results. In addition, we will summarize some of the other recent developments in Knitro.

AMPL Optimization Inc.

32

www.ampl.com

Exhibit Listings & Technology Tutorials

AMPL’s modeling language and system give you an exceptionally powerful and natural tool for developing and deploying the complex optimization models that arise in diverse business applications. AMPL lets you

formulate problems the way you think of them, while providing access to the advanced algorithmic alternatives that you need to find good solutions fast. It features an integrated scripting language for automating analyses and building iterative optimization schemes; access to spreadsheet and database files; and application programming interfaces for embedding within larger systems. AMPL works with over 30-powerful optimization engines including all of the most widely used large-scale solvers. Monday, November 14, 5:15–6pm Technology Tutorial: AMPL in the Cloud: UsingOnline Services to Develop andDeployOptimization Applications through Algebraic Modeling Robert Fourer, President AMPLOptimization Inc., 4er@ampl. com. Optimizationmodeling systems first appeared online almost 20 years ago, not long after web browsers came intowidespread use. This presentation describes the evolution of optimization alternatives in what has come to be known as cloud computing, with emphasis on the role of the AMPLmodeling language inmakingmodels easy to develop and deploy. We start with the pioneering freeNEOS Server, and then comparemore recent commercial offerings such as Gurobi Instant Cloud; the benefits of these solver services are readily leveraged through their use with the AMPLmodeling tools. We conclude by introducingQuanDec, which creates web-based collaborative applications fromAMPLmodels. Robert Fourer, an authority on the design and implementation of computer software to support large- scale optimization, studied at MIT and Stanford andwas a professor of Industrial Engineering andManagement Sciences for over 30 years. He is a founder and is currently President of AMPLOptimization Inc. and is co-author of a popular book onmodeling in the AMPL language.

Bayesia, USA

33

www.bayesialab.com

Bayesian Networks & BayesiaLab: Artificial Intelligence for Research, Analytics, and Reasoning. The objective

of this workshop is to show that “Artificial Intelligence” should not be perceived as a quasi-magic technology that is mostly incomprehensible to normal mortals. We want to illustrate how scientists in any field of study—rather than only computer scientists—can employ AI to explore complex problems. For this purpose, we present Bayesian networks as the framework and BayesiaLab as the software platform. In this context, we demonstrate BayesiaLab’s supervised and unsupervised machine learning algorithms for knowledge discovery in high-

7

All Technology Tutorials will take place in the Music City Center, 5 th Avenue Lobby.

Cornell Tech

7

dimensional, unknown domains. Also, while AI is commonly associated with another buzzword, “Big Data”, we wish to prove that AI can be useful for dealing with problems for which we possess little or no data. Here, expert knowledge modeling is critical, and we describe how even a minimal amount of expertise can serve as a basis for sound reasoning aided by AI. Sunday, November 13, 11:45am–12:30pm Technology Tutorial: AArtificial Intelligence in Marketing Science: Marketing Mix Modeling and Optimization with Bayesian Networks & BayesiaLab , “Half the money I spend on advertising is wasted; the trouble is I don’t know which half.” Various versions of this quote have been attributed to John Wanamaker, Henry Ford, and Henry Procter, yet 100 years after these marketing pioneers, in this day and age of big data and advanced analytics, the quote still rings true. The current practice is often “more art than science.” The lack of a well-established marketing mix methodology has little to do with the domain itself. Rather, it reflects the fact that marketing is yet another domain that typically has to rely on nonexperimental data for decision support. Marketing mix modeling is a causal problem, which means we are not looking for a prediction of an outcome based on the observation of marketing variables, but attempting to manipulate the marketing variables to optimize the outcome. Thus, we must simulate interventions, not observations, and switch from observational to causal inference. This brings us to deriving causal inference from observational data. We introduce the fundamental concepts of graphical models and how they can help us perform causal identification, i.e., determine whether it is possible to estimate causal effects from observational data, which requires causal assumptions about the domain plus a decision criterion, e.g., the Adjustment Criterion. However, the complexity of the marketing domain limits the practical application of this criterion. We introduce the Disjunctive Cause Criterion, which reduces the number of assumptions required for causal identification and, thus, confounder selection. Proceeding from causal identification to estimation requires an “inference engine.” In the simplest case, we could use a regression, but with dozens of interacting variables, that is not practical. Instead we use Artificial Intelligence by employing BayesiaLab’s machine- learning algorithms, which builds a high-dimensional Bayesian network model that represents the joint probability distribution of all variables. This causal inference engine plus BayesiaLab’s Target Optimization algorithm enable us to search efficiently for the ideal marketing mix.

http://tech.cornell.edu

At Cornell Tech, students across programs learn and work side-by-side, spending one-third of their experience together working on a studio-based core curriculum. They collaborate with the tech industry and postdoc-level researchers to build start-up companies and new products. By bringing these talents together at the start, there is enormous potential for better, more impactful and ultimately more successful companies and products. Programs offered: Master of Engineering in Computer Science, Master of Engineering in Electrical and Computer Engineering, Master of Engineering in Operations Research and

Information Engineering, Technion-Cornell Dual Degree in Connective Media, Technion-Cornell Dual Degree in Health Tech, Johnson Cornell Tech MBA, and Master of Laws in Law, Technology and Entrepreneurship.

Darden Business Publishing http://store.darden.virginia.edu

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Darden Business Publishing markets case-based educational materials written by the renowned faculty at the University of Virginia Darden School of Business. Darden maintains a catalogue of student-centered learning materials that energize classrooms around the world with dynamic interactive simulations and thought-provoking paper cases.

Dynamic Ideas, LLC www.dynamic-ideas.com

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Exhibit Listings & Technology Tutorials

Dynamic Ideas, LLC is a publisher of scientific books that have quality and originality in the areas of Operations Research and Applied Mathematics. The key objective of our titles is to “educate the next generation.” Many of our

books are currently being used as the main textbook in academic courses in some of the finest universities and research institutions in the world.

Elsevier

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www.elsevier.com/decisionsciences

Cambridge University Press www.cambridge.org/academic

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Elsevier publishes leading journals in OR/MS and Decision Sciences, including European Journal of Operational Research , Computers & Operations Research , and Omega- International Journal of Management Science . Elsevier journals occupy 7 of the Top 10 Impact Factor positions in the Thomson Reuters

Cambridge University Press’ publishing in books and journals combines state-of-the-

art content with the highest standards of scholarship, writing and production. Visit our stand to browse new titles, available at 20% discount, and to pick up sample copies of our journals. Visit our website to find out more about what we do.

‘Operations Research & Management Science’ category. Come to the booth to find out more, including how to use Elsevier’s researcher centric tools to develop your research.

Clemson University/COIN-OR Foundation

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FDA/Center for Drug Evaluation and Research

38

www.coin-or.org

www.fda.gov/drugs

The Computational Infrastructure for Operations Research publishes high quality, free, open-source tools for OR professionals and students, suitable for commercial,

The Center for Drug Evaluation and Research (CDER) performs an essential public health task by making sure that safe and effective drugs are available to improve the health of people in the United States.

educational, and personal use. COIN-OR is the place to go when you need a “white box” for algorithm research and development. COIN-OR is a strategic partner of the INFORMS Computing Society.

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All Technology Tutorials will take place in the Music City Center, 5 th Avenue Lobby.

GAMS Development Corp

4

www.gams.com

FICO

5

www.fico.com

The General Algebraic Modeling System (GAMS) is a high-level modeling system for mathematical programming and optimization. It consists of a language compiler and a stable of integrated high- performance solvers. GAMS is tailored for complex,

FICO is a leading analytics software company, helping businesses in 90+ countries make better decisions that drive higher levels of

growth, profitability and customer satisfaction. The company’s groundbreaking use of Big Data and mathematical algorithms to predict consumer behavior has transformed entire industries. FICO provides analytics software and tools used across multiple industries to manage risk, fight fraud, build more profitable customer relationships, optimize operations and meet strict government regulations. Many of our products reach industry-wide adoption. These include the FICO ® Score, the standard measure of consumer credit risk in the United States. FICO solutions leverage open-source standards and cloud computing to maximize flexibility, speed deployment and reduce costs. The company also helps millions of people manage their personal credit health. Tuesday, November 15, 4:30–5:15pm Technology Tutorial: How to deploy your analytic models to empower non-technical business users. You have a team with great analytics background. They have developed advanced analytical tools using SAS, Python, R, or with your current traditional optimization solver. They have derived crucial insights from your data, and figured out how your decisions shape your customers’ behaviors. Now it’s time to put these critical analytical insights in the hands of your non-technical business users. In this tutorial, we will cover how FICO’s Optimization Suite (including Xpress and Optimization Modeler) make it possible to embed your analytic models in user- friendly business-user facing applications. Learn how you can supercharge your analytic models with simulation, optimization, reporting, what-if analysis and agile extensibility. and developers to get results quickly with just a browser, spreadsheet, or programming language, instead of expensive enterprise software with steep learning curves. See how easily you can solve optimization, simulation/risk analysis, forecasting and data mining problems–starting for free, and scaling up easily to the largest models, using AnalyticSolver.com, Analytic Solver ® for desktop Excel, and our RASON ® modeling language and REST API. Use our Solver and XLMiner ® SDKs for C#, Java, C++, R and Python to create your own analytics applications. Find your fastest path to real analytics results. Tuesday, November 15, 8–8:45am Technology Tutorial: AnalyticSolver.com: Data Mining, Simulation and Optimization in Your Web Browser. AnalyticSolver.com is the new, simple, point-and-click way to create and run analytic models using only your web browser – that also works interchangeably with your spreadsheet. Whether you need forecasting, data mining and text mining, Monte Carlo simulation and risk analysis, and conventional and stochastic optimization, you can “do it all” in the cloud. We’ll show how you can upload and download Excel workbooks, pull data from SQL Server databases and Apache Spark Big Data clusters, solve large-scale models, and visualize results – without leaving your browser. If you’re more comfortable working on your own laptop or server, we’ll show how you can do that, too. Frontline Systems, Inc. 39 www.solver.com Frontline Systems is democratizing analytics, enabling business analysts

large-scale modeling applications, and allows you to build large maintainable models that can be adapted to new situations. Come to our booth to learn more about GAMS or ask for an evaluation license. Visit our technology workshop or software demo. Monday, November 14, 1:30–2:15pm Technology Tutorial: We demonstrate many of the capabilities of the GAMS software as we start with a simple optimization model and build it out by adding nonlinear and integer variables to the model and connecting it with a GUI in a sample application.

Gurobi Optimization www.gurobi.com

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Gurobi Optimization is dedicated to helping our users succeed with optimization. We provide

the leading math programming solvers, offering best-in-class performance as well as a broad array of tools for developing and deploying optimization applications on top of these solvers. We support all of the most popular programming languages, as well as client-server architectures, cloud computing, and distributed optimization. We also provide outstanding, easy-to- reach support and transparent, no-surprises pricing. Monday, November 14, 4:30–5:15pm Technology Tutorial: Advanced Python Modeling with Gurobi. Are you looking for an environment that combines the expressiveness of a modeling language with the power and flexibility of a programming language? The Gurobi Python interface allows you to build concise and efficient optimization model, using high-level modeling constructs. This tutorial will provide an overview of these capabilities, including an introduction to new modeling features that significantly enhance the expressiveness of our environment. should respond. IBM is paving the way to the next generation of analytics solutions and platforms by combining descriptive, predictive and prescriptive analytics with the power of cloud and cognitive insights. These advanced analytics capabilities provide robust; user friendly platforms aimed at helping you solve even the most complex business and research problems. Visit the IBM Advanced Analytics booth to learn more Monday, November 14, 11:45am–12:30pm Technology Tutorial: IBM Decision Optimization: Performance gains and New features in CPLEX and CP Optimizers. In this tutorial, you will learn about the new CPLEX and CP Optimizer engine features in the upcoming IBM CPLEX Optimization Studio release, including how to use the new features, how they can help you during the development of your model, and how they can speed up the resolution of your models. IBM 35 www.ibm.com Critical business decisions can be made with ease when you know what is likely to happen in the future and how you

Exhibit Listings & Technology Tutorials

9

All Technology Tutorials will take place in the Music City Center, 5 th Avenue Lobby.

IFORS

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MathWorks

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www.IFORS.org

www.mathworks.com

The International Federation of Operational Research Societies

The MATLAB and Simulink product families are fundamental applied math and computational

(IFORS) is an umbrella organization comprising the national Operations Research societies of over 45 countries from four geographical regions: Asia Pacific, Europe, North America, South America. Total membership is over 30,000 persons. IFORS’ mission is to promote Operations Research as an academic discipline and a profession.

tools at the world’s educational institutions. Adopted by more than 5,000 universities and colleges, MathWorks products accelerate the pace of learning, teaching, and research in engineering and science. MathWorks products also help prepare students for careers in industry worldwide, where the tools are widely used for data analysis, mathematical modeling, and algorithm development in collaborative research and new product development. Application areas include data analytics, mechatronics, communication systems, image processing, computational finance, and computational biology. Monday, November 14, 8–8:45am Technology Tutorial: Data Analytics with MATLAB. Mary Fenelon, Product Manager, MathWorks, mary.fenelon@ mathworks.com. Using data analytics to turn large volumes of complex data into actionable information can help you improve engineering design and decision-making processes. However, developing effective analytics and integrating them into business systems can be challenging. In this session you will learn approaches and techniques available in MATLAB to tackle these challenges through an example showing steps of data access, exploration, predictive and prescriptive model development, and deployment.

Ivey Publishing www.iveycases.com

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Ivey Publishing is the leader in providing business case studies with a global perspective. With

over 35,000 products in our library, Ivey Publishing adds more than 350 classroom-tested case studies each year. Virtually all Ivey cases have teaching notes. Clear, concise, and current, Ivey cases are lauded by the academic community as meeting the rigorous demands of management education by responding to the ever changing needs of business and society. Meet with one of our case experts on how to publish with us and how you can integrate world-class cases into your curriculum.

LINDO Systems, Inc.

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www.lindo.com

Operations Research professionals across nearly every industry for over 30 years. LINDO offers a full range of solvers to cover all your optimization needs. The Linear Programming solvers handle million variable/constraint Exhibit Listings & Technology Tutorials

Military Operations Research Society

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www.mors.org

MORS is a professional society of nearly 1,000 operations researchers and national security analysts. Since 1966 MORS’ mission has been to

problems fast and reliably. The Quadratic/SOCP/Barrier solver efficiently handles quadratically constrained problems. The Integer solver works fast and reliably with LP, QP and NLP models. The Global NLP solver finds the guaranteed global optimum of non-convex models. The Stochastic Programming solver has a full range of capabilities for planning under uncertainty. Get all the tools you need to get up and running quickly. LINDO provides a set of versatile intuitive interfaces to suit your modeling preference. What’s best is an add-in to Excel that you can use to quickly build spreadsheet models that managers can use and understand. LINDO has a full featured modeling language for expressing complex models clearly and concisely, and it has links to Excel and databases that make data handling easy. LINDO API is a callable library that allows you to seamlessly embed the solvers into your own applications. You can pick the best tool for the job based upon who will build the application, who will use it, and where the data reside. Technical support at LINDO is responsive and thorough - whether you have questions about the software or need some guidance on handling a particular application. Monday, November 14, 2:15–3pm Technology Tutorial: Optimization Modeling Made Easy. Presenter: Mark Wiley, VP Marketing, mwiley@lindo.com. Come and learn how easy it is to: quickly build linear, nonlinear, quadratic, conic and integer optimization models; incorporate uncertainty into optimization models; easily access data from Excel and databases; seamlessly embed a solver into your own application. Come and see a demonstration of the power and flexibility of the new releases of: LINDO API – a callable solver engine, LINGO – an integrated modeling language and solvers, for Excel.

enhance the quality of analysis to address real world national security interests through the advancement of the operations research profession. Today MORS services include the Annual MORS Symposium with 500+ classified and unclassified sessions, year-round communities of practice, geographic chapters, an annual Education and Professional Development Colloquium for students and young analysts, classified and unclassified special meetings/workshops, tutorials and CEU Courses, Phalanx the magazine of national security analysis and a catalog of original books, reports and republished historical manuals.

MIT Sloan

52

www.mitsloan.mit.eduu

MIT Sloan is a mission-driven organization. We develop principled, innovative leaders who improve the world and generate ideas that advance management practice. Our diversified,

specialized, and action-oriented curriculum exemplifies our commitment to balancing innovative ideas and theories with hands-on, real-world application. The coursework at MIT Sloan is markedly rigorous and further distinguished by emphasis on real-world engagement that turns innovative ideas into practical solutions to the world’s problems. MIT Sloan School offers a variety of degree programs to help you advance your career. The two-year full time MBA program allows you to customize your curriculum to focus on specific areas of interest. Optional tracks and certificates in Enterprise Management, Entrepreneurship & Innovation, Finance, Healthcare, and

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All Technology Tutorials will take place in the Music City Center, 5 th Avenue Lobby.

North Carolina State University

51

Sustainability help you dive more deeply into your career interests. For students interested in careers in finance or data analytics, MIT Sloan has innovative programs to help them succeed. The new one-year Master of Business Analytics (MBAn) program is tailored for graduating college seniors and early- stage professionals. This innovative program features Action Learning labs, collaboration with other MIT Sloan programs, a Summer Capstone project, career support, and tailored electives in statistics, finance, economics, and operations research. The program answers the industry’s demand for a skilled pool of graduates who can apply data science to solve business challenges. The 12-month and 18-month Master of Finance (MFin) program is designed for students who want to become leaders in the field of finance. The MFin program combines in-depth study of quantitative techniques with practical problem solving and the 18-month pilot allows time for a summer internship. MIT Sloan is about invention. It’s about ideas that are made to matter. At MIT Sloan, we discover tomorrow’s interesting and important challenges and opportunities. We go where we want to have impact. And then, we invent the future.

www.ise.ncsu.edu

Within NC State’s renowned College of Engineering, the Edward P. Fitts Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering (ISE) is among the top ranked programs in the country by US News & World Report . The department

has created a legacy of success by partnering with industry, government and universities while producing engineers with cutting edge ingenuity, interpersonal skills and business acumen. The College ranks ISE #1 in student satisfaction, job placement and job placement in their field of study. Currently, there are more companies looking to hire our students than there are candidates to fill those positions.

Now Publishers

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www.nowpublishers.com

Now Publishers publishes a suite of reference journals called Foundations and Trends including Information

MOSEK ApS

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Systems , Machine Learning , Operations Management , Optimization , and Systems and Control , academic journals including the DEA Journal and Review of Behavioral Economics , and scholarly books in the fields of business and technology. We will also represent World Scientific who publishes about 600 new titles a year and 130 journals in various fields. Started in 1981, it has established itself as one of the leading scientific publishers in the world, and the largest international scientific publisher in the Asia-Pacific region.

https://mosek.com

MOSEK ApS provides optimization software to help clients making better decisions.

It specializes in creating advanced software for solution of mathematical optimization problems. In particular, the company focuses on solution of large-scale linear, quadratic, and conic optimization problems. MOSEK ApS was established in 1997 by Erling D. Andersen and Knud D. Andersen. Our customer base consists of financial institutions and companies, engineering and software vendors, among others.

Exhibit Listings & Technology Tutorials

Optimization Direct Inc. www.optimizationdirect.com

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Optimization Direct Inc., markets IBM ® ILOG ® CPLEX Optimization Studio ® , the world’s leading software

Neusrel/Success Drivers

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www.neusrel.com

product for modeling and optimization. CPLEX Optimization Studio solves large-scale optimization problems and enables better business decisions and resulting financial benefits in areas such as supply chain management, operations, healthcare, retail, transportation, logistics and asset management. It has been applied in sectors as diverse as manufacturing, processing, distribution, retailing, transport, finance and investment. Monday November 14, 11–11:45am Technology Tutorial: Recent advancements in Linear and Mixed Programing give us the capability to solve larger Optimization Problems. CPLEX Optimization Studio solves large-scale optimization problems and enables better business decisions and resulting financial benefits in areas such as supply chain management, operations, healthcare, retail, transportation, logistics and asset management. In this tutorial using CPLEX Optimization Studio, we will discuss modeling practices, case studies and demonstrate good practices for solving Hard Optimization Problems. We will also discuss recent CPLEX performance improvements and recently added features.

NEUSREL is the leading software for exploring cause-effect networks using the Universal Structure

Modeling approach. Because it leverages machine learning techniques it is a self-learning system and the only methodology to explore previously not hypnotized nonlinearities (of any form) or interactions (of any type). It is the first system meeting the need of researcher to explore success factors instead of just falsifying a given set of hypothesis. It bridges the largely relevant gap between qualitative exploration and statistical testing/modeling. NEUSREL Causal Analytics is dedicated to provide software as well as training and statistical consulting to the academic community. Tuesday, November 15, 2:15–3pm Technology Tutorial: NEUSREL is a self-learning causal analysis software and leverages Advanced Machine Learning techniques. It builds cause-effect networks (path models) in order to understand the impact and role of success factors. The software is the only solution worldwide that is able to explore unexpected nonlinearities and unexpected interactions – a capability that not only led to largely increased explanation power but turned out to be crucial when understanding true key drivers of outcomes. The software is applied in all fields where many factors drive a particular outcome and therefore it is not clear how important those are and how they interact.

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