2016 INFORMS Annual Meeting Program

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INFORMS Nashville – 2016

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212-MCC MIF Rising Young Scholars Award Sponsored: Minority Issues Sponsored Session

214-MCC Resilience Management Concepts for Infrastructure and Service Systems Sponsored: Public Sector OR Sponsored Session Chair: Joost Santos, George Washington University, 800 22nd St NW, Suite 2830, GWU Science and Engineering Hall, Washington, DC, 20052, United States, joost@gwu.edu 1 - Evaluation Of Resilient Point-of-use Water Treatment Technologies Using Multi-attribute Decision-making Analysis Sheree Ann Pagsuyoin, University of Massachussetts Lowell, sheree_pagsuyoin@uml.edu, Joost Reyes Santos, Jana S Latayan Many point-of-use (POU) water treatment technologies are now available in the market as a result of efforts to address the persistent poor access to safe water and high incidences of waterborne diseases in low-income regions of the world. While the availability of options is ideal, this has also created a challenge in selecting technologies that are suitable in local settings. In this work, we present an application of Multi-Attribute Decision-Making analysis to rank and select options for POU water treatment in a poor rural community. Six technologies were considered: SODIS, boiling, chlorination, biosand filtration, ceramic pot filtration, and flocculation-disinfection. 2 - Decision Analytics Using Plural Resilience Metrics For Adaptive Supply Chain Management Shital Thekdi, University of Richmond, sthekdi@richmond.edu, Joost Reyes Santos Recent events have highlighted the need for supply chain systems to effectively recover, adapt, and reorganize after disruptions. Common modeling methods use single measures of performance in decisions for investing in resilience. However, complex systems such as those involving movement of goods and services require competing units of measurement, such as workforce availability, health, capacity, and safety. This presentation provides a framework for: 1) Data-analytic modeling of resilience with competing measures of performance, and 2) Multi-criteria and multi-stakeholder investment analytics. The proposed framework will be demonstrated on a distributed supply chain network. 3 - Integrating Community Capitals With Resilient Insurance Strategies For Flood Risk Mitigation Leyla Sadigh, Research Assistant, George Washington University, Washington, DC, 20052, United States, leyla.sadigh@arup.com Ajita Atreya, Ekundayo Shittu In this paper, we explore the role of insurance decision making in influencing community resilience along the five dimensions of capital - physical, financial, human, social, and natural. We integrate these five capitals in a dynamic computable general equilibrium model with the demand and supply side of community resilience (measured across robustness, redundancy, resourcefulness, and rapidity) through insurance. Our focus on flood insurance is to achieve a better understanding of how risk perceptions in capital influence insurance- purchasing decisions and identify strategies that encourage investments in flood mitigation measures. 4 - Development Of Multi-attribute Decision Framework For Selecting Flow Control Structures In Irrigation Canals Sheree Pagsuyoin, University of Massachussetts Lowell, MA, sheree_pagsuyoin@uml.edu The stiff competition for water between agriculture and non-agricultural users makes it necessary to have effective management of irrigation networks in farms. However, the process of selecting flow control structures in irrigation networks is highly complex and involves multi-level decision makers. In this work, we apply multi-attribute decision making methodology to select and prioritize among check and intake structures for irrigation canals. The relevant attributes for selecting structures were also identified, and a robust scoring system was developed. The model was then applied to analyze the Qazvin irrigation network, one of the oldest and most complex irrigation networks in Iran.

Chair: Julie Ivy, North Carolina State University, 111 Lampe Drive, Campus Box 7906, Raleigh, NC, 27695, United States, jsivy@ncsu.edu 1 - MIF Rising Young Scholars Award Julie Ivy, North Carolina State University, jsivy@ncsu.edu This session will feature research presentations by the MIF Rising Young Scholar Award recipients(s). The names of the presenters will be determined after the application evaluation has been completed.

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213-MCC Community-Based Operations Research I Sponsored: Public Sector OR Sponsored Session

Chair: Michael P Johnson, Associate Professor, University of Massachusett - Boston, McCormack Hall, 3rd Floor, Room 428A, 100 Morrissey Blvd., Boston, MA, 02125, United States, Michael.Johnson@umb.edu 1 - Pro Bono Analytics - What Nonprofits Can Learn From Operations Researchers, And Vice Versa David Hunt, Oliver Wyman, david.hunt@oliverwyman.com Michael P Johnson Pro Bono Analytics is an INFORMS program that matches volunteers with nonprofit organizations working in underserved areas and for underserved populations. The nonprofits tend to be small and without the resources to utilize traditional operations research and advanced analytical methods. This talk will focus on how to communicate the value of OR/analytics to nonprofits, and perhaps more importantly, what we have learned about applying OR/analytical methods to problems that truly matter to our nonprofit clients. 2 - Is Crime A Real Estate Problem? A Case Study Of The Neighborhood Of East Liberty, Pittsburgh Tayo Fabusuyi, Numeritics & Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA, United States, tfabusuyi@cmu.edu This study documents the innovative efforts of a community development organization (CDO) in the City of Pittsburgh’s East End towards combating crime in the neighborhood of East Liberty. Through a community driven process, the CDO was able to establish the nature of the problem and create a strategic intervention to address it. The intervention, which focuses on the identification of crime hot spots coupled with place-based management, along with initiatives designed to increase collective efficacy, resulted in a 49% decrease in crime within the neighborhood’s residential area over a span of five years. 3 - Can Improving Youth Decision-making Skills Make Them Less Vulnerable For Sex Traffickers? Kendra Taylor, KEYfficiencies, Inc, Atlanta, GA, United States, Kendra@KEYfficiencies.com The old adage “an ounce of prevention is worth a pound of cure” summarizes the motivation for addressing an alarming market for sex trafficking of children in Atlanta, Georgia. Several groups have begun passing legislation, raising awareness, rescuing those previously labeled child prostitutes. With approximately 5,000 students between the ages of 12 and 14 at risk for being victims in the sex trade, much still remains to be done in the area of prevention. The purpose of this study is to assess the potential of a pilot program to reduce the supply of vulnerable children by addressing the role of poor decision-making skills, by engaging adult advisors, and by creating positive peer groups. 4 - Measuring Success: Community Analytics For Local Economic Development Michael P Johnson, University of Massachusetts Boston, michael.johnson@umb.edu Main Street organizations develop local development initiatives that support economic and social goals. We describe an application of value-focused thinking and community-based operations research to identify economic development performance metrics and decision alternatives for local development interventions. Using interviews with stakeholders in three Boston communities, we show how values structures vary across communities and stakeholder groups and how attributes can be quantified using a variety of data sources. We conclude by presenting a composite values structure to support improved operations management and strategy design for all Boston Main Street districts.

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